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The Bears Growl: Update 3

24 July, 2011 (16:38) | Bulls and Bears | By: admin

Khawvela market lian ber Forex Market ah hian, Fx trader ho hian Short Term a market ti che vak thei ngaih chan em em thin an neih chu Economic calendar hi a ni. Tihian sawi fiah ta i la, Forex market ah chuan currency inthleng tawn na reng reng ah hian currency pair vek in an awm ta a, EURUSD tih a nih chuan Euro leh US Dollar in thleng tawnna kha a ni mai, chutiang zelin GBPUSD, USDJPY, AUDUSD, GBPJPY tih te hi rambung hrang pahnih currency in thleng na ang zel hi a lo ni ta a. Heng Currency pair te hi nitin in company stock price ang hian an che reng thin a (volatile), hetia a che hi Market Sentiment/ Psychology vang kan tih tawh kha, amaherawchu hetia an chet dan thin pangai aia nasa hian chet hun an nei thin a, chumi lai short term a Currency pair ti che vak thei tu chu Econonomic calendar vang hi an ni. Hetiang blog mai mai ah te chuan Economic Calendar hi a vai a ziah sen chi a ni lo a, mahse a langsar zual te chu:

US Market Moving Economic Indicators:

Consumer Price Index, Employment Situation (Non Farm Payroll), Gross Domestic Product, Interest Rate Announcement by FOMC, Producer Price Index leh a dang te.

EURO zone Market moving Econonomic Indicators:

Gross Domestic Product, Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HCIP), Interest Rates, Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), Industrial production leh a dangte.

Japan Market Market Moving Economic Indicators:

Bank of Japan’s Tankan survey, Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), Interest Rates, Gross Domestic Product, Industrial Production leh a dang te.

UK Market Moving Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product, Claimant Unemployment (Numbers and rate), Producer Price Index, Bank of England Quaterly report leh a dang te.

Switzerland Economic Indicators

Consumer Price Index, Gross Domestic Product, Purchasing Managers Index, Interest Rates leh a dang te.

Australia Market Moving Economic Indicator

Westpac – Melbourne Institute Index of Consumer Sentiment, Commodity Prices, Gross Domestic Product, Interest Rates leh a dang te.

Canada Market Moving Economic Indicator.

Consumer Price Index, Gross Domestic Product, Unemployment Rate, Interest Rates leh a dang te

Hemi link ah hian World Economic calendar an puan hun tur chu a hmuh thei e, lo en thlithlai duh tan.

http://www.dailyfx.com/calendar/ 

US hian Economic Calendar eg Non Farm Payroll an release ni chuan US dollar pair ho EURUSD/ GBPUSD/ USDJPY/ AUDUSD/ USDJPY  nasa takin a che ta thin a ni. Chutiang bawkin UK in Economic calendar eg  Consumer Price Index an release ni chuan GBPUSD/ GBPJPY/ GBPCHF te ho hi a che lek vak thin a ni. World market a nih tawh avangin hetiang Economic calendar hi nitin mai hian ngaihchan tur a awm a ni. Hetiang economic calendar release ni chuan Trader/Investor ho hian an ngaichang thuap thin a ni.  Market co relation ti a sawi fo tawh angin hemi Currency che hian equity market (Stock market) pawh a ti che tel nghal vek zel a ni.

Tunkar a India Stock market in kan tawn chhoh tur pawh hi chutiang hun chu a ni e. RBI Monetary policy hi investor hoin engtik lai pawh a an ngaihchan em em thin a ni e.

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/market-news/rbi-policy-ril-results-to-dictate-markets-may-get-global-support/articleshow/9346134.cms

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/features/financial-times/analysts-expect-another-rate-hike-factors-to-affect-rbi-monetary-policy/articleshow/9342807.cms

Professional Trader Larry Pasavento chuan ti hian a sawi thin “Trade what you see, Not what you believe”. A then te phei chuan hemi zul zui hian “Trade what you see, Not what you wish to see”  te pawh an ti bawk thin. Hetia trader lar tih hian Forbes in Top Billionaire a thlan ho ah khan lang turah kan lo ngai hlauh palh ange, an lang kher lo mai thei, achhan chu Trader hlawhtling an tehna ber chu Consistance Income la thei kan tih tawh kha. Larry Pasavento kamchhuak hi a dik em em a ni, a chhan chu Day/Intraday Trader te hian nitin Office/School/Dawr kan kai ang hian nitin tak meuh meuh an trade chiah lo a ni. Entry Signal an hmuh ni ah chauh an trade thin. A chhan chu Individual trader te chuan an trading capital hian market price hi a ti che zo lo tih an chiang em em a, market ti che tu tur ni loin market chet rual a lo che ve tu nih kha an tum thin chu a ni, chumi avang chuan a nia “Trade the trend” te pawh an tih thin. Market chu ti khan lo che mai mai se, mahse entry signal an hmuhna laiah khan an lut chat ta thin a ni. Market ah experience nei tlem deuh chuan khami entry signal lang miah lo kha hmuh luih phet an tum thin a, hemi vang hian Trader patuai deuh chuan an tih sual phah fo ta thin a ni.

http://www.tradingtutor.com/

Mi tam takin Day Trading hi Risky em em leh Gambling ang thawthang a sawina te pawh a awm thin, helai ah hian hriat atana tha chu Strategy emaw trade thiam dan hi mihring ah hian a lo in ang lo khawp mai a, Ken Calhoun hian Stock market ah hian nikhatah  5-15 minutes a rei bak position a hawng ngai mang lo a ni, Day trader ai pawhin market ah position a hawng tawi thin a ni, a scalp thin a ni ber  www.kencalhoun.com . Chutih rualin Japanese Candlestick rawn ti lar tu Steve Nison ve thung chuan Ken Calhoun a strategy hi a hmang ngai miah lo thung, a ni chu a tam zawkah Intraday leh Swing trader a ni mah zawk. An pahnih hian an timeframe leh Trading Strategy chu a in ang miah lo, Ken Calhoun in 1 minute, 5 minute leh 15 minute timeframe a hman laiin, Steve Nison chuan “1 Hour Timeframe aia hniam ka hmang ngai miah lo” a ti ve thung.  Chuti chung chuan Trader hlawhtling tak an ni ve ve tho. Warren Buffet hian 1 Day Timeframe a hmang an ti. Football, Boxing, Wrestling te hi khel ngai miah lo hian Gambling ti in chhal ta se a in hmeh mawlh lo, mahse Khela ni ve lo in fit bawk si lo hi khelh luih tir ni ta se, an chau hlum thei deuh thaw ang, an nunna an va thap deuh der dawn tihna a ni, nunna thap a khelh  lo liama Gambling a awm thei dawn chuang em niang. Chuvangin hetiang lama ngaihtuahna hmang bik tan lo leh hrethiam miah lo tan chuan Gambling a lo chhal mai pawh kha a awm ve tho mai, an hriat thiam hlawl loh vang a ni e.

Nifty Analysis:

Khawnge “Trade what you see, not what you wish to see” chu i han enfiah dawn teh ang.

A hma zawng zawng khan entry na leh exit na rawn lang chauh kha rawn ti lang thin a, tunah chuan entry na tur hriat thiam har em em lai i han ti lang dawn teh ang, a chang phei chuan “No trading zone”   ti te pawh in an sawi mai thin.

Timeframe: 1 Day

Nifty hi tla tura ngaih a nih laiin Dt 22 July 2011 (Friday) chuan Bullish candle in a rawn in close ta tlat mai! Hetiang hi thil in kawkalh a ni ta ni. Trader tam tak chuan hetiang ang news pawimawh a awm dawn hian position an close sang sang thin, a chang phei chuan hetiang economic calendar pawimawh thlen dawn hian market price hi che miah lo in zu han ding tawp thei a! Khawvel a Financial market lian ber Forex Market, ni khat a 4 Trillion dollar che ziah thin pawh hi hetiang Economic news an puan dawn lai hian che miah lo a ding tawp thei hi, a mak thin ang reng. Mahse a awmzia chu Speculator/Investor/Trader hoin khami lai news puan tur kha an ngaihchan vang zawk a ni thin. 

Economictimes ah pawh ti hian hei an ziah hi “This strange trend has been noticed for past few quarters, when corporate results have not been very good due to factors like soaring inflation, economic slowdown and rising interest costs.”

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/regulation/fiis-pre-results-stock-buying-spree-under-sebi-scanner/articleshow/9347393.cms

A chunga milem ah khian duh angin a hmun awl a awm tlem deuhva a, khimi rin kual chhunga candlestick awm dan hi a hnuaiah hian a lang lian deuh hlek in sawi fiah leh ta i la. Candlestick Railroad track lan hnu ah Bearish engulfing candle a rawn lang tawh a ni, chutah a chung lamah Trendline in Resistance a ti lang bawk si, overall market sentiment hi a bearish em em a ni. Lower top lower bottom emaw Low Lower Low ti te pawhin hetiang hi an sawi thin a ni, tlem tlem in a hniam thla hret hret tihna. Mahse rinloh takin Friday khan Bullish candle a rawn ni ta thut mai a, chutah RBI Monetary policy puan a rawn ni leh dawn ta bawk si nen, chuvang chuan hetiang angah hian Trend leh Chart pattern hi chhiar a har ta em em mai a ni. Hetiang anga engmah chart pattern hmuh tur a awm loh thin angah hian a nia “Trade what you see, Not what you wish to see”  tih hian a sawi fiah tak em em na chhan. Chuvangin RBI Monetary policy hi an release hun ngaihchan a fuh zawk a ni.

Comments

comments

Comments

Comment from caribou
Time July 25, 2011 at 6:56 pm

A ngaihnawm leh hle mai. Tunlai market tla hniam ruai ruai ah hian bank ho fixed deposit rate a sang chho ve thung chu a nia. Market a tlak hniam hian bank deposit rate a sang chho in ka hre tlat. Hei hian relationship thuk tak a nei lo maw?

Comment from admin
Time July 25, 2011 at 8:58 pm

@Caribou: I rawn leng lut hram hram thin a, ti lawmawm ngawt mai. Bank Fixed deposit rate RBI in a tih san hian mak ve deuh chu, kha Fixed deposit Bank in an hmuh kha market ah lut lo mahse, RBI in interest a tih san chuan Nifty/Sensex hi a sang chho awk thei thin, Indian Rupee pawh Dollar ah a hlutna a sang awk thei thin. Hetiang hi khawi ramah pawh an Reserve bank in Interest rate an tih san chuan an ram market leh currency kha a ti che awk vek zel, mahse a tlang pui thu in short term a ni duh khawp mai. Vawiin Reliance Q1 result 17% zet an profit pawh khan an stock price kha 0.98% chauh in a chho mawle. Reliance stock price hi a san lai ber khan 1626 a han ni phak, vawiin close kha 882.15 a nia, Bearish tak a ni. Nifty pawh vawiin in close na ah pawh khan Trendline 1 kha a la break zo ta chuang lo reng reng, engtin tak awm zel ang maw thlir zel chhin teh ang
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-company/earnings/earnings-news/reliance-industries-q1-net-up-17-at-rs-5661-crore/articleshow/9359899.cms

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